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Home / Science / What testing finds
Veriphase · Evidence
Two independent bodies of evidence: the largest dataset yet published on gray-market peptides, and a smaller peer-reviewed study of semaglutide bought online. Both are set out with their limitations.
Every figure this site quotes about failure rates comes from here. It is also the study with the most caveats, so both are set out below.
How many samples matched their label?
6,441 gray-market samples · 14 compounds · 203 synthesis companies
Ask someone what goes wrong with a gray-market peptide and they will say it is the wrong compound, or that it is impure. Neither is the common answer.
Where the 41.6% actually fails
Compounded-medication standard · share of all 6,441 samples
| Compound | Passed both compounded | Passed both manufactured | Wrong peptide identity failure |
|---|---|---|---|
| Retatrutide | 67.8% | 47.0% | – |
| Ipamorelin | – | 34.2% | – |
| CJC-1295 | 29.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% |
| TB-500 | 22.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% |
| Tirzepatide | – | 13.8% | – |
| BPC-157 | – | – | 3.5% |
| All compounds | 58.4% | 28.9% | 2.4% |
The two are measured separately because they are unrelated, and the data says so directly.
It is a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. That is a real limitation. It has not been through the scrutiny that the smaller semaglutide studies below have, and its figures should be read with that in mind.
The sample is self-selected. These are vials that somebody chose to pay to have tested. People who already suspected a problem are over-represented, so the true failure rate across everything sold is probably lower than 41.6%. How much lower is unknown, and nobody can currently say.
It is not a random sample of the market. Compounds are represented unevenly — some by hundreds of vendor pairings, others by a handful — so per-compound figures carry very different weight from one another.
We benefit from this data being alarming. We sell testing. That is a conflict of interest, so the limitations belong here alongside the headline rather than only the headline.
Three vials is not a market. But this one was published under peer review, and the method is the closest look available at what an unregulated supply chain delivers.
Every vial was labelled 99% pure. Liquid chromatography–mass spectrometry measured what was actually there.
Semaglutide purity: claimed versus measured
3 vials · LC–MS · percentage of sample that was semaglutide
| Measure | Label claim | Measured range |
|---|---|---|
| Semaglutide purity | 99% | 7.7% – 14.37% |
| Total content vs label | 100% | 128.56% – 138.69% |
| Endotoxin | not stated | 2.1645 – 8.9511 EU/mg |
| Viable microorganisms | — | none detected |
The same three vials contained more total substance than the label stated. Weight alone said the vials were generous. Only the purity measurement revealed what that weight actually was.
Total content versus actual semaglutide
3 vials · percentage of the labelled amount
Sterility and endotoxin are separate questions, and the answers went in opposite directions.
Three vials. That is a small sample, and we are not going to present it as more than it is. The value is in the method — the products were bought anonymously, then analyzed by LC–MS, sterility culture and endotoxin assay in a university laboratory, and published under peer review.
These were counterfeit prescription products bought from illegal online pharmacies selling without a prescription. That is an adjacent market to research peptides, not the same one. What the two share is the absence of anyone checking.
The sterility result went the other way. No viable microorganisms were found. We include that because leaving it out would be the kind of selective reporting this whole business exists to argue against.
A larger analysis of 26 follow-on semaglutide and liraglutide products in Pharmaceutical Research (2024, doi:10.1007/s11095-024-03771-6) reached compatible conclusions — novel impurities, trace metals, and several oral products containing markedly less semaglutide than the label claimed — though it reports impurity profiles rather than single headline percentages.